See what the markets expect, and where they disagree.
We track every open market on 
Kalshi and 
Polymarket, match the same question across venues, and show where prices agree, disagree and move.
Live 2026 Midterms
Polls open in2days15hrs59min01secDemocrats are favoured to win both the House and the Senate.
Kalshi and 
Polymarket, side by side, for every Senate, House and governor race. Markets expect 5 Senate seats to change party.
Projected Senate
Faded ends are seats not up this year. Each race counts for the party the two venues favour on average.
Closest Senate and governor races
Race · favouriteRating
Rating- Kansas SenateAdam Hamilton50%52%Toss-up
- Iowa SenateAshley Hinson56%56%Toss-up
- Florida GovernorByron Donalds64%65%Lean R
- Texas GovernorGreg Abbott66%65%Lean R
- Georgia GovernorFlipKeisha Lance Bottoms68%69%Lean D
- Maine SenateFlipTroy Jackson69%69%Lean D
- Alaska SenateFlipMary Peltola68%72%Lean D
Democrats blue, republicans red.